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In-season analysis and forecast of soybean crop development for Mato Grosso, Brazil

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In-Season Yield Forecast

In-Season Yield prediction using crop modeling, remote sensing, and machine learning Crop and Region of Interest: Soybean for Mato Grosso, Brazil.

Data Sources:

  • Historical Yield, planted area and production (2011-2022)
  • Planting Progress (2015-2023)
  • Harvest Progress (2018-2022)
  • Weather (2000-2023)
  • NDVI (2013-2023)
  • Soybean Area 2022 (raster)
  • Regions (shp)

Methodology:

Used APSIM Next Generation and the R package APSIMX for running simulations The analysis was done using python. The output of the crop model was combined with ground truth data (weather, remote sensing, planting date) to train a Catboost Machine Learning Model. In-season predictions for yield and harvest progess curve were obtained.

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In-season analysis and forecast of soybean crop development for Mato Grosso, Brazil

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