GFZ · irr299 · Feb 10, 2026 · Feb 10, 2026 · Feb 10, 2026 · Feb 10, 2026
diff --git a/assets/aurora_forecast.mp4 b/assets/aurora_forecast.mp4
diff --git a/assets/kp_product_file_SWIFT_LAST.csv b/assets/kp_product_file_SWIFT_LAST.csv
@@ -0,0 +1,27 @@
+Time (UTC),minimum,0.25-quantile,median,0.75-quantile,maximum,prob 4-5,prob 5-6,prob 6-7,prob 7-8,prob >= 8,kp_0,kp_1,kp_2,kp_3,kp_4,kp_5,kp_6,kp_7,kp_8,kp_9
+10-02-2026 09:00,2.33,3.00,3.33,3.67,4.00,0.15,0.05,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.33,3.00,3.33,3.67,4.00,3.33,2.67,3.00,2.67,3.33
+10-02-2026 12:00,2.67,3.33,3.67,4.00,4.67,0.20,0.10,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.67,3.33,3.67,4.00,4.67,3.67,3.00,3.33,3.00,3.67
+10-02-2026 15:00,3.00,3.67,4.00,4.33,5.00,0.25,0.15,0.05,0.0,0.0,3.00,3.67,4.00,4.33,5.00,4.00,3.33,3.67,3.33,4.00
+10-02-2026 18:00,3.33,4.00,4.33,4.67,5.33,0.30,0.20,0.10,0.0,0.0,3.33,4.00,4.33,4.67,5.33,4.33,3.67,4.00,3.67,4.33
+10-02-2026 21:00,3.67,4.33,4.67,5.00,5.67,0.35,0.25,0.15,0.05,0.0,3.67,4.33,4.67,5.00,5.67,4.67,4.00,4.33,4.00,4.67
+11-02-2026 00:00,4.00,4.67,5.00,5.33,6.00,0.40,0.30,0.20,0.10,0.0,4.00,4.67,5.00,5.33,6.00,5.00,4.33,4.67,4.33,5.00
+11-02-2026 03:00,3.67,4.33,4.67,5.00,5.67,0.35,0.25,0.15,0.05,0.0,3.67,4.33,4.67,5.00,5.67,4.67,4.00,4.33,4.00,4.67
+11-02-2026 06:00,3.33,4.00,4.33,4.67,5.33,0.30,0.20,0.10,0.0,0.0,3.33,4.00,4.33,4.67,5.33,4.33,3.67,4.00,3.67,4.33
+11-02-2026 09:00,3.00,3.67,4.00,4.33,5.00,0.25,0.15,0.05,0.0,0.0,3.00,3.67,4.00,4.33,5.00,4.00,3.33,3.67,3.33,4.00
+11-02-2026 12:00,2.67,3.33,3.67,4.00,4.67,0.20,0.10,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.67,3.33,3.67,4.00,4.67,3.67,3.00,3.33,3.00,3.67
+11-02-2026 15:00,2.33,3.00,3.33,3.67,4.33,0.15,0.05,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.33,3.00,3.33,3.67,4.33,3.33,2.67,3.00,2.67,3.33
+11-02-2026 18:00,2.00,2.67,3.00,3.33,4.00,0.10,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.00,2.67,3.00,3.33,4.00,3.00,2.33,2.67,2.33,3.00
+11-02-2026 21:00,1.67,2.33,2.67,3.00,3.67,0.05,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.67,2.33,2.67,3.00,3.67,2.67,2.00,2.33,2.00,2.67
+12-02-2026 00:00,1.33,2.00,2.33,2.67,3.33,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.33,2.00,2.33,2.67,3.33,2.33,1.67,2.00,1.67,2.33
+12-02-2026 03:00,1.00,1.67,2.00,2.33,3.00,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.00,1.67,2.00,2.33,3.00,2.00,1.33,1.67,1.33,2.00
+12-02-2026 06:00,0.67,1.33,1.67,2.00,2.67,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.67,1.33,1.67,2.00,2.67,1.67,1.00,1.33,1.00,1.67
+12-02-2026 09:00,0.33,1.00,1.33,1.67,2.33,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.33,1.00,1.33,1.67,2.33,1.33,0.67,1.00,0.67,1.33
+12-02-2026 12:00,0.00,0.67,1.00,1.33,2.00,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.00,0.67,1.00,1.33,2.00,1.00,0.33,0.67,0.33,1.00
+12-02-2026 15:00,0.67,1.33,1.67,2.00,2.67,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.67,1.33,1.67,2.00,2.67,1.67,1.00,1.33,1.00,1.67
+12-02-2026 18:00,1.33,2.00,2.33,2.67,3.33,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.33,2.00,2.33,2.67,3.33,2.33,1.67,2.00,1.67,2.33
+12-02-2026 21:00,2.00,2.67,3.00,3.33,4.00,0.10,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.00,2.67,3.00,3.33,4.00,3.00,2.33,2.67,2.33,3.00
+13-02-2026 00:00,2.67,3.33,3.67,4.00,4.67,0.20,0.10,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.67,3.33,3.67,4.00,4.67,3.67,3.00,3.33,3.00,3.67
+13-02-2026 03:00,3.33,4.00,4.33,4.67,5.33,0.30,0.20,0.10,0.0,0.0,3.33,4.00,4.33,4.67,5.33,4.33,3.67,4.00,3.67,4.33
+13-02-2026 06:00,4.00,4.67,5.00,5.33,6.00,0.40,0.30,0.20,0.10,0.0,4.00,4.67,5.00,5.33,6.00,5.00,4.33,4.67,4.33,5.00
+13-02-2026 09:00,4.67,5.33,5.67,6.00,6.67,0.50,0.40,0.30,0.20,0.05,4.67,5.33,5.67,6.00,6.67,5.67,5.00,5.33,5.00,5.67
+13-02-2026 12:00,5.33,6.00,6.33,6.67,7.33,0.60,0.50,0.40,0.30,0.15,5.33,6.00,6.33,6.67,7.33,6.33,5.67,6.00,5.67,6.33
diff --git a/assets/kp_swift_ensemble_LAST.png b/assets/kp_swift_ensemble_LAST.png
diff --git a/index.html b/index.html
@@ -0,0 +1,95 @@
+
+            <!DOCTYPE html>
+            <html>
+            <head>
+                <style>
+                    body { font-family: Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 1.6; color: #000000; max-width: 1200px; margin: 0 auto; padding: 20px; }
+                    table { border-collapse: collapse; margin: 20px 0; width: 100%; font-size: 13px; }
+                    th, td { padding: 8px 12px; border: 1px solid #ddd; text-align: left; }
+                    th { background-color: #f0f0f0; font-weight: bold; }
+                    img { max-width: 100%; height: auto; }
+                    h1 { color: #d9534f; font-size: 1.5rem; }
+                    h2 { color: #5bc0de; margin-top: 30px; font-size: 1.25rem; }
+                    h3 { color: #000000; font-size: 1.1rem; }
+                    .forecast-caption { font-size: 16px; color: #444444; margin-top: 4px;}
+                    small { font-size: 11px; color: #333; }
+                    hr { border: 0; border-top: 1px solid #ddd; margin: 20px 0; }
+                </style>
+            </head>
+            <body>
+            <h2 style="color: #d9534f;">SPACE WEATHER ALERT - EXTREME STORM CONDITIONS (G5) with probability ≥ 40% predicted</h2>
+
+<h3>From 11:56 (CET) 18.02.2026  to 17:56 (CET) 18.02.2026, space weather can reach EXTREME STORM CONDITIONS with Kp = 9 with probability ≥ 40%.</h3>
+<p><strong>Current Conditions:</strong> QUIET   (Observed Kp data available up to 13:00 CET 17.02.2026)</p>
+<p><img alt="Forecast Image" src="./kp_swift_ensemble_with_swpc_LAST.png" /></p>
+<p class="forecast-caption">Bar colours indicate geomagnetic activity levels: green corresponds to quiet conditions (Kp &lt; 3), yellow to moderate activity (3 &lt; Kp &le; 6), and red to high storm conditions (Kp &gt; 6). The red dashed line shows the official NOAA SWPC Kp forecast. Error bars represent the minimum-maximum spread of forecast Kp values.</p>
+
+<h2><strong>ALERT SUMMARY</strong></h2>
+<ul>
+<li><strong>Alert sent at:</strong> 14:56 CET 17.02.2026 </li>
+<li><strong>40% Probability of EXTREME STORM CONDITIONS (G5) within next 24 hours</strong></li>
+</ul>
+<h2><strong>AURORA WATCH:</strong></h2>
+<video width="800" controls autoplay loop muted>
+  <source src="aurora_forecast.mp4" type="video/mp4">
+  Your browser does not support the video tag.
+</video>
+
+<p><strong>Note:</strong> Kp ≥ 7 indicate potential auroral activity at Berlin latitudes. Time indicated in UTC.</p>
+<h2>GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY SCALE</h2>
+<table>
+<thead>
+<tr>
+<th>Level</th>
+<th>Kp Value</th>
+<th>Description</th>
+</tr>
+</thead>
+<tbody>
+<tr>
+<td><strong>Quiet</strong></td>
+<td><strong>0-3</strong></td>
+<td>Quiet conditions</td>
+</tr>
+<tr>
+<td><strong>Active</strong></td>
+<td><strong>4</strong></td>
+<td>Moderate geomagnetic activity</td>
+</tr>
+<tr>
+<td><strong>Minor Storm (G1)</strong></td>
+<td><strong>5</strong></td>
+<td>Weak power grid fluctuations. For more details see <a href="https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation#:~:text=G%201">NOAA [G1]</a></td>
+</tr>
+<tr>
+<td><strong>Moderate Storm (G2)</strong></td>
+<td><strong>6</strong></td>
+<td>High-latitude power systems affected. For more details see <a href="https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation#:~:text=G%202">NOAA [G2]</a></td>
+</tr>
+<tr>
+<td><strong>Strong Storm (G3)</strong></td>
+<td><strong>7</strong></td>
+<td>Power systems may need voltage corrections. For more details see <a href="https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation#:~:text=G%203">NOAA [G3]</a></td>
+</tr>
+<tr>
+<td><strong>Severe Storm (G4)</strong></td>
+<td><strong>8</strong></td>
+<td>Possible widespread voltage control problems. For more details see <a href="https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation#:~:text=G%204">NOAA [G4]</a></td>
+</tr>
+<tr>
+<td><strong>Extreme Storm (G5)</strong></td>
+<td><strong>9</strong></td>
+<td>Widespread power system voltage control problems. For more details see <a href="https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation#:~:text=G%205">NOAA [G5]</a></td>
+</tr>
+</tbody>
+</table>
+<p><em>This is an automated alert from the Kp Index Monitoring System using GFZ Space Weather Forecast.</em></p>
+<hr />
+<p><small><br />
+© 2026 GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences | GFZ Helmholtz-Zentrum für Geoforschung<br />
+The data/data products are provided "as-is" without warranty of any kind either expressed or implied, including but not limited to the implied warranties of merchantability, correctness and fitness for a particular purpose. The entire risk as to the quality and performance of the Data/data products is with the Licensee.<br />
+In no event will GFZ be liable for any damages direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential, including damages for any lost profits, lost savings, or other incidental or consequential damages arising out of the use or inability to use the data/data products.<br />
+</small></p>
+            </body>
+            </html>
+